Saturday racing unfortunately returns to Warwick Farm in Sydney tomorrow.
Personally I don’t like betting at the joint - and don’t believe it should be used for Saturday metropolitan racing.
The track features a silly little 326-metre straight, so all horses don’t necessarily get their chance there. Flemington, Sandown, Caloundra, Eagle Farm, Randwick and Rosehill – they are all genuine eastern seaboard racetracks – not rubbish like Canterbury and Warwick Farm along with the Kensington track in Sydney, although I do think that one day the latter might be okay. Caulfield is okay in my opinion, as long as the pace is on and Moonee Valley is a total waste of space with its fluctuating track rating between various parts of its course proper.
The main race in Sydney tomorrow is the $300,000 Chipping Norton Stakes, a Group 1 WFA race. It features a short priced favourite Rangirangdoo, so it’s not rocket science to work out he’d be a winning chance.
The race I’ve chosen to preview for readers is Race 7 – the $125,000 Group 3 Liverpool City Cup.
Last year Judged won the race at $5, from El Cambio and Faulconbridge.
2008 winner Danleigh is running in tomorrow’s race, following his last start win over stablemate Rangirangdoo. That was the second time in two weeks that a Waller favourite has been beaten by the rougher stablemate, as last week Strike One got the money over his much more fancied stablemate Hawk Island, so I’d be thinking that one Christopher Waller would be about as popular as a pork chop at a synagogue at present with punters.
My thoughts on Liverpool City Cup are:
|
HORSE
|
COMMENT
|
|
ALLEZ WONDER
|
Not likely.
|
|
TRIPLE HONOUR
|
I don’t know why they don’t try a different trainer with this horse. Try something different like training him out in the bush. He’s a winning hope here from the shocking alley if they get some cover.
|
|
NEROLI
|
Did not fire in mares company in the Spring in Melbourne, so not for me against males here.
|
|
KRONER
|
Hard to catch, so I gave up trying many moons ago.
|
|
MISS MARIELLE
|
A consistent mare, but I can’t get aboard now.
|
|
CENTENNIAL PARK
|
Hasn’t run for 28 days, so I don’t know why that is. That’s my first concern and my second concern is that he’d be better suited on a bigger track.
|
|
DRUMBEATS
|
A really nice galloper, but they tried to make him run 2000 metres last campaign and he couldn’t, so hopefully they’ll keep him to a maximum of 1600. He’s the horse to beat in this.
|
|
MR BARITONE
|
Will he have to sing for his supper tomorrow night? Always a place hope in any race he contests.
|
|
BERNICIA
|
Place chance resuming here from a good alley.
|
|
EMPEROR BONAPARTE
|
Well drawn here and generally runs a good race second up.
|
|
GET UP JUDE
|
Wonder what Jude thinks about that?
|
|
KENNY’S WORLD
|
Not a horse of mine, so if he wins I’ll lose.
|
|
SNAPY HALO
|
Has Argentina form and they must run down the side of mountains in that country, as this individual supposedly ran 1.20.58 for 1400 metres there on 27/5/09. Toledo has held the Australian national record for 1400 metres at 1.20.20 since Stradbroke day 1998, so either this horse is real quick, or they have fast stop watches, I’ll go with the latter.
|
|
DREAMSCAPE
|
Drawn awkwardly, but if he gets in, he’ll be a place hope.
|
|
LYNCEAN ACADEMY
|
Better suited on a bigger track than this joint.
|
|
PILLAR OF HERCULES
|
Sold for a billion dollars or some stupid amount like that - and hasn’t won a race since. Now moved from Moody to Waller, so Moody’s party’s probably still going. Bet you he rang Waller to make sure the horse got there safely, just to ensure the float hadn’t broken down on the way.
|
|
TWIN WING
|
No.
|
|
SAINTHOOD
|
Eligible for a Class 2 at Dingo. Wonder will they step him up in class and run in the Dingo Cup in July?
|
CONCLUSION: The race has two winning chances in my humble opinion - Triple Honour and Drumbeats. Backing both of them each way - with half your stake on each - would be my recommendation. Also have a little spec bet on Drumbeats each way in the Doncaster before he runs in this race tomorrow. He’s 30/1 each way fixed odds now that I can see around the traps at a quick glance, albeit many are less than that.